2025.08.17. Borders are ephemeral. Ukraine
There is a threat to the existence of Ukraine.
I am for the preservation of life, the land
that gives us the opportunity to exist and develop.
I do not support the government, which has
shown itself disgustingly since 1991 – decades erased from life. But today, the
president and his staff are heroes, deserving deep respect, as do the Ukrainian
people, for their courage, steadfastness and fortitude.
It is very difficult to write about this. I
have studied history superficially. We, Ukraine, the Ukrainian people, are of
no use to anyone – this is how humanity develops. To analyze the entire history
of human behavior with available data – the 3rd millennium BC to the present
day will cause controversy and destroy thought, idea. The peoples of Europe by
all parameters have a different psychology, consciousness and faith, radically
different from the Slavs. The Slavs are a complex formation on the territory,
unlike Europe, where the population has been homogeneous since the times before
the Roman Empire. The Slavs are the result of mixing a large number of peoples
– Europe, Asia.
Great Britain in the century before last gave
up its colonies, forced other European countries to do so, but the form was
changed to other, weaker countries, and not the colonial attitude. The First
and Second World Wars were connected with this. The USA was created by the
decision to resettle the surplus population, not the best, they destroyed all
the nature and population in North America. Perhaps the same plans for Ukraine.
Over time, the USA became the strongest, WWI and WWII ended thanks to their
intervention. Ukraine today is not in the interests of the USA. Do I need to
explain this? – in WWI they fought for access to the main trade routes through
the Mediterranean; in WWII – similarly, plus, Germany claimed to seize all of
Europe, and then the whole world. It was unprofitable for the USA to have such
a rival, because Great Britain is "our own in spirit" and weaker. In
addition, historical background, according to the research of Vernadsky G.V.:
the Goths by 250 A.D. already controlled the entire northern coast of the Black
Sea, and the Heruls and Burgundians had already settled on the Don – long
before the so-called Varangians. It is clear that for food purposes. They have
not forgotten their history to this day. Therefore, Ukraine should not
"puff itself up" with Cossacks – a separate story, unworthy – the
future is not built on the dead.
I propose to create a new society based on
honesty. The Ukrainian people are honest, I know. You should not copy the
lifestyle of the West – they will swallow everyone up soon and you will sink
into history. We need to draw conclusions. The Ukrainian government has already
made many mistakes: took out loans that will never be repaid – sell resources
and drive the population into slavery? – the behavior of the same top brass of
the alien Cossacks, a mistake. Built a nuclear power plant so that Europe could
receive environmentally friendly cheap energy, but did not even reduce or
cancel tariffs for their citizens in these territories? – the same violence.
You were artificially brought to war – I remember everything, how the Azarovs
and Yekhanurovs "convinced" everyone that the army is not needed, it
costs a lot. And what? – everyone began to rob the state. And still. Of course,
the government should form the consciousness of the population: first of all –
to live honestly, by their own labor, respect others; remember that the
environment is the only way to survive; arm yourself with your knowledge, start
everything from scratch, it's simple; from scratch – figuratively, not to
return to the Stone Age, develop your economy and shape your life, and not copy
someone else's, which is death; live within your means, needs, and not just one
day, otherwise – death. Freedom and democracy do not mean robbery and crime. By
the way, these concepts, especially democracy – are not yours. And you need to
live with your head – heart, mind, verification. Democracy is a temporary
capitalist way to destroy the family – the main unit of society and force
everyone to serve the state – no mind, no humanity, nothing, this leads to
death. Although, global plans are different – the maximum reduction in the
population, complete control over it. As such, there is no democracy or
freedom, this is an illusion that replaced the faith of the people. Why did
Ukraine and some countries not adopt Roman law? – you clearly need to know the
reason, preferably – and the entire population.
As for Russia – the population there has been
in the position of slaves for centuries, no one released them from this state
in 1917 and their consciousness is accordingly; this is a state that has
absorbed all the vices. And they are ruled by the same – punks. But Ukrainians
are not like that, are they? We need to form our consciousness, only the right
one.
I can't write much, it's hard and I can't write
consistently. But I can answer any question in detail, because I've studied and
know a lot.
Conclusion: the West does not need Ukraine, the
people have a different consciousness and are not obliged to copy the West or
imitate, because it is impossible – it is written in the genes and, the death
of the nation. The West despises the Slavs, and they wrote about it, and still
do, in films, for example. The war on the territory of Ukraine, where they test
their strategies and weapons, medicine, household appliances; instead of
disposing of their weapons at their own expense, they sold them to Ukraine, and
continue – fight, kill yourself, imposing loans on a weakened state, the
interest on which was already impossible to pay before the war and much more –
do not indicate friendliness. What did the USA do? – they forced Ukraine to
sign an agreement on the development of priceless resources by force, after
which no one will carry out reclamation – they took away the resources, in
exchange - they divided Ukraine with Russia. And no one takes into account the
state and the population – as a worthless example of their democracy and the
rule of law. Similarly, European companies developing resources for themselves
have been operating in Ukraine since 1991.
Returning to the title about the ephemeral
nature of borders. Let's figure it out, it's appropriate.
Example: the unification of Europe since 1478.
Example: the leadership of the USA. Example: everyone will fly away to Artemis,
to live in space. Example in nature: no food, they galloped to another pasture;
no water – went to look for water. Example: migratory birds. Example:
construction on the coast – destroyed the habitat of animals, does not mean
that they died. Example: creating a family, marriage. Example: got an
education, changed consciousness. Example: faith. Example: learned a foreign
language. Example: moved to another country. Example: sleep (transferred in
dreams). Example: death. Example: the Universe is expanding.
Remark. What do we know about the negotiations
in Alaska? – Nothing, if not said, reported, explained. Are guesses necessary? –
No, they lead astray, distort, and given the multitude of opinions, continue
discord. Do we need to be observant? In everything. Instinct must be developed
(caution, preservation of life) in the process of evolution – from rain,
earthquake, neighbors, one's actions. What is the key to these negotiations for
me, as an ordinary person, if I show interest? The appearance of the Minister
of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Lavrov is indecent and informal
before the official meeting – in a T-shirt with the inscription USSR. Two main
points: a demonstration of disdain for the negotiations, which implies
inflexibility, and the USSR – Russia's demand to have the Slavic peoples under
its control. This is a centuries-old requirement, minimal, I have studied
history in detail – G.V. Vernadsky, for example. And Lavrov does not personally
demonstrate these requirements, but these are hints, because he is in
government service. After that, it became clear to me. That is why I am raising
the main topic – the ephemeral nature of borders.
We need to ask the West a question: do you want
to help Ukraine? Let's now fight on the territory of France, Great Britain,
Germany, other European countries, and Ukraine will help you – not interfere.
In WWI and the WWII, they all showed themselves to be weak, with the exception
of Germany, and only through joint military actions did they stop the discord
of governments – after all, war is not a natural disaster or a space alien, but
a struggle of clans for spheres of influence. This is an example of
ephemerality. Ukraine did not claim to seize Europe or the world, why did they
make it a springboard for their clarifications and destroy it? This is a crime
of humanity. Therefore, I do not trust Western countries and am not going to
copy their life – this will not lead to anything good. Therefore, I ask the
people of Ukraine to pay attention and create their own state, a fair one. I
will help, and such issues cannot be resolved with money. There is nothing in
common with communism in my proposals: I propose logic, common sense, a
scientific approach, respect for one's land and life – to follow the laws of
evolution in the universe, not to live for today. And for Ukraine and the
people – to always be independent and self-sufficient, respected by all, but at
the same time – smart – to confirm their right to exist.
The final part is unpleasant, and it is needed
only by Ukraine and the Ukrainian people to realize that no one needs us
anymore. When a loved one dies a natural death, it is a tragedy, a rethinking
of your place in the family and in life. But when innocent people are
deliberately killed, maimed, mental trauma is created that will be dealt with
in generations, I change my attitude: Ukraine is being destroyed as a state
before everyone's eyes, deprived of the right to exist. What the hell do I need
their pre-arranged aid, refugees and conditions for? Let them run themselves: this
land is mine! And I will not leave it!
Personally,
I would pay attention: the USSR is a threat of a cornered monkey with a nuclear
club; the USSR is not only Ukraine – claims to almost all of Europe, access to
the Mediterranean Sea with the violation of all trade relations in the world,
demands to recognize itself, its influence, its ideology of a primitive society
of the Stone Age. This is already dangerous. And for many centuries, nothing
has changed, despite the expansion of the universe, the change of civilizations
and the death of dinosaurs. Changing the rules, the method, the type of
governance of the planet and humanity is relevant – they have no ideas: they
have weapons, they printed money for themselves, subjugated people, but there
is no reason. War is the most primitive method of the Stone Age. Nothing to be
proud of.
Overall loss estimates
The conflict in Ukraine, which began with
Russia's full-scale invasion on 24 February 2022, has resulted in significant
civilian and military casualties. Data on natural (non-conflict related) deaths
during this period is less available, as they are not separately identified in
the context of the war.
Civilian losses
According to the Office of the United Nations
High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), as of 31 July 2025, the following
have been confirmed:
- 13,883 civilians killed, including 726
children;
- 35,548 civilians injured, including
2,234 children.
These figures include only verified cases, and
the UN has repeatedly stressed that the real numbers are likely to be
significantly higher due to limited access to the occupied territories and
difficulties in confirming data. For example, in occupied regions such as parts
of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, independent monitoring is
limited, making it difficult to accurately count.
Military losses
Estimates of military casualties are more
controversial, as both sides (Ukraine and Russia) often do not disclose full
data or provide understated figures to maintain morale and strategic goals.
Ukrainian military losses:
- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said
in February 2024 that 31,000 Ukrainian servicemen had been killed, but this
figure is considered understated;
- The Wall Street Journal estimates, based on
confidential Ukrainian data, that by early 2024 about 80,000 Ukrainian
servicemen had been killed and 400,000 wounded;
- Every Casualty Counts source for January 2025
indicates 43,000 dead Ukrainian servicemen, but this is also a
preliminary estimate.
Some user reports citing British journalist
Warren Thornton claim that Ukrainian casualties are up to 1.8 million
(including dead and wounded), with daily losses of around 1,638. However, these
figures have not been independently verified and are likely exaggerated for
propaganda purposes. Such claims should be viewed with caution as they are not
backed by reliable data.
Russian military losses:
- According to the International Institute for
Strategic Studies, by the beginning of 2025, Russia had lost more than 800,000
military personnel (killed and seriously wounded), making this conflict one
of the deadliest for Russia since World War II;
- Every Casualty Counts estimates that the
number of Russian military deaths is likely to exceed 100,000, but there
are no precise figures;
- BBC News Russian Service and Mediazona as of
January 2025 confirmed by name 84,761 dead Russian servicemen, based on
open sources, but this is only a part of the real losses;
- The Center for Strategic and International
Studies (CSIS) estimates the number of Russian soldiers killed in the war to be
between 200,000 and 250,000.
Natural deaths
Estimating natural (non-conflict-related)
deaths in Ukraine during the conflict period is difficult due to the lack of
specific data in the context of the war. Before the conflict, the mortality
rate in Ukraine was around 14-15 per 1,000 people per year (based on
World Bank data for 2019-2021), which for a population of around 44 million
(until 2022) would translate into around 600,000-650,000 deaths annually.
However, since the start of the war, the population has declined due to
emigration (around 6.8 million refugees) and internal displacement (4 million
people), complicating the calculations. In addition, the war may have affected
the mortality rate due to deteriorating living conditions, access to
healthcare, and stress, especially among the elderly.
As a rough estimate, let us assume that the
population of Ukraine during the conflict was reduced to 35-37 million
people (including refugees and occupied territories). If the pre-war
mortality rate is maintained, this gives about 500,000-550,000 natural
deaths per year, or about 1.5-1.65 million over the three years of
conflict (February 2022 – August 2025). These figures are extremely
approximate, since the war probably increased mortality from disease and other
non-conflict causes, but there are no precise data on this aspect.
Total losses
Civilian deaths: ~13,883 confirmed (UN, July 2025), likely up
to 20,000-30,000 including unconfirmed cases in occupied zones.
Ukrainian military deaths: 43,000 (Every Casualty Counts) to
80,000 (Wall Street Journal), let's take the average of ~60,000 as a
conservative estimate.
Russian military fatalities: 100,000 (Every Casualty Counts) to
250,000 (CSIS), average ~175,000.
Natural deaths (Ukraine): ~1.5-1.65 million over three years
(estimate based on pre-war statistics, adjusted for population decline).
Total death toll:
- conflict losses (civilian + military): 248,883-265,000
(13,883 + 60,000 + 175,000, taking into account the range of estimates);
- taking into account natural deaths: 1.75-1.92
million for the entire period (February 2022 - August 2025).
Time breakdown
For calculations, the conflict period is from
February 24, 2022 to August 16, 2025, which is 1270 days (approximately
3.5 years).
Total conflict losses (248,883-265,000):
Per year: 248,883 ÷ 3.5 ≈ 71,109-75,714 dead.
Per day: 248,883 ÷ 1270 ≈ 196-209 dead.
Per hour: 196 ÷ 24 ≈ 8-9 dead.
Per minute: 8 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.13-0.15 dead.
Per second: 0.13 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.0022-0.0025 dead.
Civilian losses (~13,883-30,000):
Per year: 13,883 ÷ 3.5 ≈ 3,967-8,571 fatalities.
Per day: 13,883 ÷ 1,270 ≈ 11-24 fatalities.
Per hour: 11 ÷ 24 ≈ 0.46-1 fatality.
Per minute: 0.46 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.008-0.017 fatalities.
Per second: 0.008 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.00013-0.00028 fatalities.
Military losses (Ukraine + Russia,
~235,000):
Per year: 235,000 ÷ 3.5 ≈ 67,143 fatalities.
Per day: 235,000 ÷ 1270 ≈ 185 fatalities.
Per hour: 185 ÷ 24 ≈ 7.7 fatalities.
Per minute: 7.7 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.13 fatalities.
Per second: 0.13 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.0022 fatalities.
Natural deaths
(~1.5-1.65 million):
Per year: 1.5 million ÷ 3.5 ≈ 428,571-471,429 deaths.
Per day: 1.5 million ÷ 1270 ≈ 1181-1299 deaths.
Per hour: 1181 ÷ 24 ≈ 49-54 deaths.
Per minute: 49 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.82-0.9 deaths.
Per second: 0.82 ÷ 60 ≈ 0.0137-0.015 deaths.
Breakdown by
year (conflict losses)
2022 (February-December, ~313 days):
Civilians: ~7,000 (high casualties in March
2022 - 3,912 killed).
Military (Ukraine): ~15,000-20,000 (estimate
based on intensity of fighting).
Military (Russia): ~30,000-50,000 (estimate by
CSIS and other sources).
Total: ~52,000-77,000.
2023 (365 days):
Civilians: ~3,000-5,000
(stabilization of the front, reduction of intensity in cities).
Military (Ukraine):
~15,000-25,000.
Military (Russia):
~50,000-70,000.
Total:
~68,000-100,000.
2024 (365 days):
Civilians: ~2,500-4,000 (losses increased due
to drone and missile attacks).
Military (Ukraine): ~15,000-25,000.
Military (Russia): ~60,000-80,000.
Total: ~77,500-109,000.
2025 (January-July, ~197 days):
Civilians: ~1,383-3,000 (losses increased,
6,754 casualties in six months).
Military (Ukraine): ~10,000-15,000.
Military (Russia): ~30,000-40,000.
Total: ~41,383-58,000.
I think these figures are significantly
underestimated. Property damage is a separate criminal issue. The main thing
now is to preserve the nation and the state.
Data on
refugees from Ukraine (as of 2025)
Total number
Internally displaced persons (IDPs) in
Ukraine:
approximately 3.7 million people remain internally displaced in
the country as of February 2025.
Refugees outside Ukraine:
- According to UNHCR, as of April 2025, there
are 6.918 million refugees from Ukraine registered worldwide, of
which:
6.358 million in Europe;
0.56 million outside Europe (e.g. USA, Canada and other
countries);
- According to Statista, as of May 2025, the
total number of refugees is about 5.6 million worldwide, of which 5.1
million are registered in Europe.
The difference in figures may be due to
different counting dates and methodology (for example, UNHCR counts all
refugees, including those not registered under temporary protection).
Distribution of
refugees by country (April-May 2025)
According to UNHCR and other sources, the main
countries hosting Ukrainian refugees are:
Germany: 1.243 million people (as of April 2025).
Poland: 999.7 thousand people (as of April 2025).
Czech Republic: 401.4 thousand people.
United Kingdom: 254 thousand people.
Spain: 235.7 thousand people.
Italy: 171 thousand people.
France: 70.1 thousand people.
Russia: 1.2 million refugees (data as of June 2022,
more recent data is not available).
Belarus: 44 thousand people (as of March 2025).
Other European countries (including Hungary,
Moldova, Slovakia, etc.) also host refugees, but in smaller numbers. For
example, in Moldova, UNHCR supports 1,858,100 refugees under the
Regional Refugee Response Plan 2025-2026 (jointly with other countries).
Dynamics and
trends
From December 2024 to April 2025, the number of
refugees in Europe increased by 104,000, indicating a continuing outflow of population.
According to forecasts by the National Bank of
Ukraine, another 200 thousand people are expected to leave in 2025, and
the return of refugees will begin in 2026 (200 thousand) and accelerate in 2027
(500 thousand).
The European Commission forecasts that the
number of refugees receiving temporary protection in the EU will remain stable
in 2025 (~4.3 million), with a possible decline to 4.1 million by the end of
2025 and to 3.8 million by the end of 2026.
Demographic
profile of refugees
According to UNHCR (October 2024 – April 2025
surveys):
- 77% of refugees are women, average age
is 44 years;
- before leaving Ukraine: 52% were
employed, 5% were unemployed;
- in host countries: 42% employed, 16%
unemployed.
Around 76% of refugees are women and
children, increasing the risks of gender-based violence and exploitation.
Humanitarian
needs
In 2025, 12.7 million people in Ukraine
will need humanitarian assistance, including 2 million children.
UNHCR and partners provided assistance:
- 4.32 million people inside Ukraine in
the first year of the war;
- 2.6 million people in 2023 in Ukraine
and neighboring countries;
- more than 410 thousand emergency housing
kits, 300 thousand people received psychosocial support, 37 thousand
houses were repaired.
Under the Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan
2025 (HNRP) and the Regional Refugee Response Plan (RRP), assistance is planned
for 12 million people in Ukraine and 1,858,100 refugees in seven
countries in the region.
Problems and
challenges
Funding: In 2024, the RRP received only 21% of the
funding it needed, with more than half coming from the US.
Infrastructure: Attacks on Ukraine’s power grid are
deteriorating access to water, heating, and electricity, exacerbating the
humanitarian crisis and forcing people to flee the country.
Temporary Protection: The EU has a Temporary Protection
Directive (TPD) in place until March 2026, giving refugees access to housing,
the labour market, and healthcare.
Integration and Return: Despite the economic contribution
of refugees (e.g. $88.7 billion to Poland’s GDP in 2022-25), their integration
is straining local economies, and return is contingent on the end of the
conflict.
Do you understand what it means for a country
to disperse its population and lose women and children? – the main thing, I
understand, is many – the majority.
Start creating a new society now: opportunists, imitators, braggarts,
thieves – lovers of an easy life at the expense of the state and the people,
Ukraine does not need. Everyone must work for Ukraine according to logically
developed plans taking into account the future, others are not needed; the
consequences of the war are an exception. Lots of work. Ukraine must be free,
independent and smart. I will help.
In relation to the West, we need to insist: borders are ephemeral – we are
part of the cosmos, and everyone must survive, and not divide who will command,
this is primitive. What will happen if the planets fight, which of them will be
the Sun? – to the galaxies' laughter. Not long ago, humanity had no idea who
revolves around what and why and where we are moving? We still have not come
out of this state. Consciousness needs to be changed.
By the way, in space no one will hear you, your
voice, there are other criteria, but this does not mean that, shouting and
fighting here, you are not in space. The paradox of undeveloped consciousness.
If only on history, for information I used the
scientific works of Vernadsky G.V., and on his references – the whole cream of
historical science; A.J. Toynbee, A. Asimov; H.J. Wells and absolutely all the
others who did not remain indifferent to life on earth. There is no point in
creating a whole list, you just need to love life.
Ending: perhaps they don’t talk about this –
they’re upset, they don’t have time for it, and many are waiting to adapt
later, but silence is also a crime.
I live in Crimea under occupation.
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